Schedule: FAA flight plans.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 416 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 9:58 AM AKT (3 H 54 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Saturday, November 14 Yesterday

DL 416 · ANC → ATL

departs 8:10 PM AKT · arrives 7:02 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +49 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ANC that day

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.02 in

ATL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 416 · ANC → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?