DL 503 · ATL → PDX

departs 4:45 PM ET · arrives 6:49 PM PT

Your aircraft is N812DN (B739), coming in as DL 2188 from DTW: landed 2:42 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,167 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 503 · ATL → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?