DL 8911 · STL → XNA

departs 8:05 PM CT · arrives 9:20 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?

84% chance · ±0 pts +64 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to XNA?

On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
59%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
17%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from STL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

XNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8911 · STL → XNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XNA?