DL 8951 · CMH → PHL

departs 10:25 PM ET · arrives 11:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +36 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
41%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↓ CMH usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

PHL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 8951 · CMH → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?