Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 902 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, November 14

DL 902 · SFO → SLC

departs 1:29 PM PT · arrives 4:24 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±8 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

SLC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 902 · SFO → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?