DL 978 · DTW → BUF

departs 9:35 PM ET · arrives 10:45 PM ET

Your aircraft is N317NB (A319), coming in as DL 2458 from SAT: landed 7:05 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±0 pts +53 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
40%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at BUF that day

↑ 9pm departures from DTW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 978 · DTW → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?