DL 9894 · SJU → JFK

departs 11:25 AM AT · arrives 2:02 PM ET

Your aircraft is N592DT (A21N), coming in as DAL1877 from JFK: still at JFK, due off about 11:38 AM ET, 991 min before departure.

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU

↑ Arrivals into JFK at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 9894 · SJU → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?