DL 9904 · AMS → JFK

took off 5:21 PM CET · expected to land 6:53 PM ET (scheduled 1:55 PM CET → 3:52 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JFK?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
100%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ DL's recent on-time record

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AMS

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AMS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 9904 · AMS → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?