Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 4412 LANDED 7:29 PM CT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

G4 4412 · MYR → MEM

took off 6:43 PM ET · landed 7:29 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MYR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

Weather at each end

MYR (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MEM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 4412 · MYR → MEM

Odds over time