Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3935 LANDED 4:08 PM CT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

MQ 3935 · ECP → DFW

took off 2:28 PM CT · landed 4:08 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ECP

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ECP (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3935 · ECP → DFW

Odds over time