Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3794
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
OO 3794 · LAX → GEG
departs 1:00 PM PT · arrives 3:35 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Thu 11/12 12%
Fri 11/13 16%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 24%
Mon 11/16 13%
Tue 11/17 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at GEG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GEG?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
1pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at GEG that day
↓
GEG usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 7% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.29 in
GEG (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.