Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3797
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
OO 3797 · SLC → OAK
departs 8:40 PM MT · arrives 9:38 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Fri 11/13 15%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 11%
Mon 11/16 12%
Tue 11/17 7%
Wed 11/18 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into OAK at that hour are often late
↑
OAK is prone to delays
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 7% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.37 in
OAK (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.