Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3873
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
OO 3873 · SEA → LWS
departs 9:35 PM PT · arrives 10:57 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Fri 11/13 10%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 13%
Mon 11/16 13%
Tue 11/17 11%
Wed 11/18 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at LWS more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LWS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at LWS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LWS?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from SEA are often late
↓
LWS usually runs smoothly
↓
This flight has been late 9% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
LWS (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.