Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3893
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
OO 3893 · SEA → YVR
departs 9:52 PM PT · arrives 12:02 AM MST
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Fri 11/13 20%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 19%
Mon 11/16 18%
Tue 11/17 14%
Wed 11/18 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at YVR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to YVR?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt forecast at YVR that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
YVR usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into YVR at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.04 in
YVR (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.