Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4112
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
OO 4112 · MSO → SLC
departs 1:15 PM MT · arrives 2:57 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Fri 11/13 6%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 8%
Mon 11/16 10%
Tue 11/17 7%
Wed 11/18 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
This flight has been late 8% of the time recently
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSO (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.44 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.