Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4987
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
OO 4987 · ORD → FNT
departs 2:45 PM CT · arrives 5:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Fri 11/13 35%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 51%
Tue 11/17 39%
Wed 11/18 47%
Odds over time
Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at FNT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FNT?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
2pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FNT (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.