OO 5312 · FSD → ORD

departs 6:36 PM CT · arrives 8:26 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

Not applicable chance · ±0 pts +50 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to ORD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–
Cancelled
✓

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at FSD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

FSD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5312 · FSD → ORD

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORD?