Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5556
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
OO 5556 · DEN → RAP
departs 1:59 PM MT · arrives 3:20 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Fri 11/13 12%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 22%
Mon 11/16 15%
Tue 11/17 24%
Wed 11/18 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at RAP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RAP?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt forecast at RAP that day
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
RAP usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
RAP (destination)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9.33333 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.