Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5562
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
OO 5562 · IAH → CRP
departs 9:49 PM CT · arrives 11:07 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Fri 11/13 14%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 20%
Mon 11/16 18%
Wed 11/18 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±6 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CRP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at CRP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CRP?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CRP that day
↑
IAH is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CRP (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.