OO 6484 · PHX → IDA

departs 8:50 PM MT · arrives 10:56 PM MT

Your aircraft is N246LR (CRJ9), coming in as OO 4947 from IDA: still at IDA, due off about 5:35 PM MT, 109 min before departure.

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at IDA more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +43 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IDA?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
12%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IDA that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IDA (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6484 · PHX → IDA

Odds over time

How late will it get to IDA?