Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 9653 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

PT 9653 · MDT → SBY

departs 10:50 AM ET · arrives 11:19 AM ET

Your aircraft is N906AE (E145), coming in as PT 5908 from PHL: landed 11:30 PM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SBY more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ 10am departures from MDT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDT

↓ Arrivals into SBY at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MDT (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SBY (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 9653 · MDT → SBY

Odds over time