RV 7144 · GEG → YYZ

departs 8:25 AM PT · arrives 3:41 PM EST

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YYZ

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

↓ YYZ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

GEG (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 7144 · GEG → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?