SY 8204 · ACY → SFB

departs 7:55 AM ET · arrives 10:37 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SFB?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SFB is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ACY

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ ACY usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ACY (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFB (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8204 · ACY → SFB

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFB?