SY 8414 · PNS → AFW

departs 6:55 PM CT · arrives 8:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at AFW more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AFW?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at AFW

↑ This route's recent record

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PNS

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AFW (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 8414 · PNS → AFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to AFW?