UA 1022 · DEN → SAT

took off 2:26 PM MT · landed 5:08 PM CT (scheduled 1:44 PM MT → 4:55 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling733 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1022 · DEN → SAT

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAT?