UA 1303 · DEN → EUG

took off 8:58 PM MT · expected to land 10:17 PM PT (scheduled 7:35 PM MT → 9:21 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EUG?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
50%
1–2 hours late
50%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

EUG (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1303 · DEN → EUG

Odds over time

How late will it get to EUG?