Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1717 LANDED 6:55 PM CT, ~40 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

UA 1717 · STL → ORD

took off 6:03 PM CT · landed 6:55 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1717 · STL → ORD

Odds over time