Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2008 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, November 14

UA 2008 · MCO → CLE

departs 5:30 PM ET · arrives 8:05 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 44h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2008 · MCO → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?