UA 2253 · DEN → PIT

took off 8:12 PM MT · expected to land 12:51 AM ET (scheduled 5:40 PM MT → 10:53 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PIT?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
35%
Over 2 hours late
65%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2253 · DEN → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?