UA 2323 · DEN → SBP

left the gate 10:25 PM MT · taxiing (scheduled 7:23 PM MT → 9:20 PM PT)

Your aircraft is N846UA (A319).

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SBP more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SBP?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SBP is prone to delays

↓ Other factors

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

SBP (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2323 · DEN → SBP

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBP?