tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3793 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 3793 · MHK → SWO

departs 4:54 PM CT · arrives 6:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Arrive at SWO more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SWO?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.