Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3916 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 10:04 AM PT (1 H 50 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Saturday, November 14 Today

UA 3916 · PSP → DEN

departs 7:58 AM PT · arrives 11:28 AM MT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
24%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP

Weather at each end

PSP (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 3916 · PSP → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?