tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 653 DEPARTURE NOT REPORTED YET (THE FAA SEES FLIGHTS FROM ABROAD ONCE THEY NEAR US AIRSPACE)
Today

UA 653 · MBJ → IAD

departs 5:15 PM EST · arrives 8:45 PM ET
Your aircraft is N77261 (B738), coming in as UA 1519 from IAD: still at IAD, due off about 2:39 PM ET, 53 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
100% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAD?

  1. On time or early
    79%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.