UA 926 · SFO → FRA

took off 7:05 PM PT · expected to land 2:07 PM CET (scheduled 7:00 PM PT → 2:48 PM CET)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at FRA more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to FRA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SFO is busy at that time

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

FRA (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 926 · SFO → FRA

Odds over time

How late will it get to FRA?