Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

BAHAMASAIR · FLIGHT UP 2382 LANDED 9:40 PM EST, ~121 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 14 Today

UP 2382 · MCO → NAS

took off 8:52 PM ET · landed 9:40 PM EST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at NAS more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ MCO is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ UP's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

NAS (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UP 2382 · MCO → NAS

Odds over time