Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1005
SCHEDULED
Saturday, November 14 Today
WN 1005 · ONT → SJC
departs 2:08 PM PT · arrives 3:37 PM PT
Your aircraft is N8671D (B738), coming in as WN 2788 from PHX: still at PHX, due off about 4:06 PM MT, 110 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 30%
Thu 11/19 34%
Fri 11/20 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
98%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 112 min after the scheduled departure, about 100 min late from the gate after a typical 12-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 19%.
+1 pt
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Leave ONT more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 112 min after the scheduled departure, about 100 min late from the gate after a typical 12-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 32%.
+4 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 112 min after the scheduled departure, about 100 min late from the gate after a typical 12-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 5%.
−1 pt
98%
Yes 98%
No 2%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from ONT are often late
↑
Arrivals into SJC at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ONT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.30 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.