Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1063
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 1063 · BWI → MCO
departs 2:58 PM ET · arrives 5:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Fri 11/13 30%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 4,100 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.