WN 110 · LAS → SJD

took off 3:01 PM PT · expected to land 6:02 PM MST (scheduled 11:05 AM PT → 2:26 PM MST)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SJD more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SJD?

LIVE

On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
100%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from LAS are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ SJD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

SJD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 110 · LAS → SJD

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJD?