WN 1272 · DEN → HOU

departs 4:01 PM MT · arrives 7:32 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

59% chance · ±0 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1272 · DEN → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?