WN 1354 · PHX → IND

departs 5:55 PM MT · arrives 11:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±6 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IND (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1354 · PHX → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?