Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1395
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 1395 · SLC → PHX
departs 2:13 PM MT · arrives 4:02 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
SLC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SLC (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.29 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.