WN 139 · BNA → BWI

departs 4:56 PM CT · arrives 7:49 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8525S (B738), coming in as WN 314 from DAL: in the air, landing about 5:08 PM CT, 19 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from BNA are often late

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 139 · BNA → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?