WN 1404 · BNA → CVG

departs 4:06 PM CT · arrives 6:39 PM ET

Your aircraft is N463WN (B737), coming in as WN 8551 from LIT: still at LIT, due off about 5:12 PM CT, 124 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

81% chance · ±0 pts +58 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
16%
15–30 min late
57%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
18%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1404 · BNA → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?