WN 1411 · DEN → DAL

departs 3:35 PM MT · arrives 6:38 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8871Q (B38M), coming in as WN 2922 from MDW: landed 2:16 PM MT.

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

92% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1411 · DEN → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?