WN 1487 · HOU → MSY

departs 6:15 PM CT · arrives 7:35 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±0 pts +18 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1487 · HOU → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?