Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1494
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14 Tomorrow
WN 1494 · BWI → BOS
departs 8:27 PM ET · arrives 9:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 77%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 37%
Mon 11/16 39%
Tue 11/17 37%
Wed 11/18 42%
Thu 11/19 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.