WN 1591 · DEN → SAT

departs 3:12 PM MT · arrives 6:34 PM CT

Your aircraft is N473WN (B737), coming in as WN 8527 from ONT: in the air, landing about 4:07 PM MT, 64 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +60 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
70%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
18%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1591 · DEN → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?