Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Nov 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1627
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, November 14
WN 1627 · PDX → DAL
departs 12:06 PM PT · arrives 5:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Fri 11/13 35%
Sat 11/14
Sun 11/15 32%
Mon 11/16 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↓
PDX usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 1,400 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.06 in
DAL (destination)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 8,333 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.