WN 1638 · HOU → ATL

departs 5:47 PM CT · arrives 8:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts +31 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
47%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
9%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1638 · HOU → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?