WN 163 · HOU → BWI

departs 2:45 PM CT · arrives 7:02 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

67% chance · ±0 pts +39 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BWI?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
50%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from HOU are often late

↑ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BWI (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 163 · HOU → BWI

Odds over time

How late will it get to BWI?